Pitcher strikeout prop edges. Calibrated. Tracked. Transparent.
Lifetime · All Qualifying Bets (5%+ Edge)
Bets
2955
1117W · 1714L
Win Rate
39.5%
41.3% to break even
at avg odds of +142
ROI
-2.29%
profit / wager
P&L
-143.21u
1× Kelly-sized · settled
Lifetime · High-Conviction (20%+ Edge)
Bets
277
116W · 156L
Win Rate
42.6%
40.3% to break even
at avg odds of +148
ROI
+10.11%
profit / wager
P&L
+121.56u
1× Kelly-sized · settled
Smaller sample (277 bets) — a real, distinguishable cohort, not a substitute for the full track record above. Use the edge stepper to isolate this cohort on any tab — see Model.
What's in EdgeK
Value BetsStart here
Today's edges across every sportsbook, sized by Kelly fraction. The day-to-day product surface.
See today's edges →
Predictions
Every starting pitcher's K projection. Includes predicted Ks, 80% CI, talent tier, and ±1K/±2K confidence. The full slate, bet or not.
See every starter →
Results
How the slate settled — Yesterday by default, or last 7d / 30d / lifetime. Wins, losses, and P&L, filterable by edge and line type, plus the predictions side (count + MAE) for the chosen window.
Model
Lifetime, 30-day, or 7-day performance and the cumulative-P&L equity curve — every card and chart filterable by edge and line type.
Accuracy
How well predicted strikeout counts match actual results. MAE, bias, RMSE, and a predicted-vs-actual scatter.
Calibration
When the model says 60%, does it happen 60% of the time? Reliability diagram + ECE. EdgeK's transparency moat.
Pitchers
Per-pitcher leaderboards. Most profitable, most bet, win rate leaders, and pitchers to avoid.
About
How the model works, what calibration means, and what the numbers represent.